Nordic Waterproofing (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 131.40

NWG Stock  SEK 170.00  1.40  0.83%   
Nordic Waterproofing's future price is the expected price of Nordic Waterproofing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nordic Waterproofing Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nordic Waterproofing Backtesting, Nordic Waterproofing Valuation, Nordic Waterproofing Correlation, Nordic Waterproofing Hype Analysis, Nordic Waterproofing Volatility, Nordic Waterproofing History as well as Nordic Waterproofing Performance.
  
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Nordic Waterproofing Target Price Odds to finish below 131.40

The tendency of Nordic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 131.40  or more in 90 days
 170.00 90 days 131.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordic Waterproofing to drop to kr 131.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nordic Waterproofing Holding probability density function shows the probability of Nordic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordic Waterproofing price to stay between kr 131.40  and its current price of kr170.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nordic Waterproofing Holding has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nordic Waterproofing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nordic Waterproofing Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nordic Waterproofing Holding has an alpha of 0.0864, implying that it can generate a 0.0864 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nordic Waterproofing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nordic Waterproofing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordic Waterproofing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
167.89170.00172.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.35141.46187.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
158.67160.78162.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
168.09171.59175.08
Details

Nordic Waterproofing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordic Waterproofing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordic Waterproofing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordic Waterproofing Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordic Waterproofing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
5.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Nordic Waterproofing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordic Waterproofing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordic Waterproofing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordic Waterproofing has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nordic Waterproofing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordic Waterproofing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordic Waterproofing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments226.6 M

Nordic Waterproofing Technical Analysis

Nordic Waterproofing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordic Waterproofing Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nordic Waterproofing Predictive Forecast Models

Nordic Waterproofing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordic Waterproofing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordic Waterproofing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nordic Waterproofing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordic Waterproofing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordic Waterproofing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordic Waterproofing has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Nordic Stock Analysis

When running Nordic Waterproofing's price analysis, check to measure Nordic Waterproofing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nordic Waterproofing is operating at the current time. Most of Nordic Waterproofing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nordic Waterproofing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nordic Waterproofing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nordic Waterproofing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.