Nvidia Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 138.62
| NVDA Stock | USD 139.31 4.24 3.14% |
Closest to current price NVIDIA long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
NVIDIA |
NVIDIA Target Price Odds to finish below 138.62
The tendency of NVIDIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 138.62 or more in 90 days |
| 139.31 | 90 days | 138.62 | about 67.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NVIDIA to drop to $ 138.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.74 (This NVIDIA probability density function shows the probability of NVIDIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NVIDIA price to stay between $ 138.62 and its current price of $139.31 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NVIDIA has a beta of 0.85. This indicates NVIDIA market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NVIDIA is expected to follow. Additionally NVIDIA has an alpha of 0.2844, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NVIDIA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NVIDIA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NVIDIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVIDIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NVIDIA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NVIDIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NVIDIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NVIDIA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NVIDIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
NVIDIA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NVIDIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NVIDIA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NVIDIA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Should you buy Nvidia stock before 2025 The evidence is piling up, and it says this |
NVIDIA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NVIDIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NVIDIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NVIDIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26 B |
NVIDIA Technical Analysis
NVIDIA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NVIDIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NVIDIA. In general, you should focus on analyzing NVIDIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NVIDIA Predictive Forecast Models
NVIDIA's time-series forecasting models is one of many NVIDIA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NVIDIA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NVIDIA
Checking the ongoing alerts about NVIDIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NVIDIA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NVIDIA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Should you buy Nvidia stock before 2025 The evidence is piling up, and it says this |
Check out NVIDIA Backtesting, NVIDIA Valuation, NVIDIA Correlation, NVIDIA Hype Analysis, NVIDIA Volatility, NVIDIA History as well as NVIDIA Performance. For information on how to trade NVIDIA Stock refer to our How to Trade NVIDIA Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NVIDIA. If investors know NVIDIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NVIDIA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.68 | Earnings Share 2.54 | Revenue Per Share 3.91 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.224 | Return On Assets 0.5526 |
The market value of NVIDIA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NVIDIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NVIDIA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NVIDIA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NVIDIA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NVIDIA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NVIDIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NVIDIA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NVIDIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.