Nations Trust (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.25
| NTBN0000 | LKR 157.25 3.25 2.02% |
Nations |
Nations Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 124.25
The tendency of Nations Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 124.25 or more in 90 days |
| 157.25 | 90 days | 124.25 | about 25.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nations Trust to drop to 124.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.63 (This Nations Trust Bank probability density function shows the probability of Nations Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nations Trust Bank price to stay between 124.25 and its current price of 157.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nations Trust Bank has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nations Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nations Trust Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nations Trust Bank has an alpha of 0.588, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nations Trust Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Nations Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nations Trust Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nations Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nations Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nations Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nations Trust Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nations Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Nations Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nations Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nations Trust Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nations is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Nations Trust Technical Analysis
Nations Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nations Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nations Trust Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nations Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nations Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Nations Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nations Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nations Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nations Trust Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nations Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nations Trust Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nations is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Nations Stock
Nations Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nations Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nations with respect to the benefits of owning Nations Trust security.