Northern Government Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.61
| NOUGX Fund | USD 8.65 0.03 0.35% |
Northern |
Northern Government Target Price Odds to finish below 8.61
The tendency of Northern Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.61 or more in 90 days |
| 8.65 | 90 days | 8.61 | about 1.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Government to drop to $ 8.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.69 (This Northern Government Fund probability density function shows the probability of Northern Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northern Government price to stay between $ 8.61 and its current price of $8.65 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Government has a beta of 0.0077. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northern Government average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Government Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Government Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Northern Government Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northern Government
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Government. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Northern Government Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Government Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Northern Government Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Government can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northern Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Northern Government maintains about 98.89% of its assets in bonds |
Northern Government Technical Analysis
Northern Government's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Government Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Northern Government Predictive Forecast Models
Northern Government's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Government's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Government's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Northern Government
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Northern Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Northern Government maintains about 98.89% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund
Northern Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Government security.
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