Nordic Mining (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.36

NOM Stock  NOK 25.50  0.11  0.43%   
Nordic Mining's future price is the expected price of Nordic Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nordic Mining ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nordic Mining Backtesting, Nordic Mining Valuation, Nordic Mining Correlation, Nordic Mining Hype Analysis, Nordic Mining Volatility, Nordic Mining History as well as Nordic Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Nordic Mining's target price for which you would like Nordic Mining odds to be computed.

Nordic Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 23.36

The tendency of Nordic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  23.36  or more in 90 days
 25.50 90 days 23.36 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordic Mining to drop to  23.36  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Nordic Mining ASA probability density function shows the probability of Nordic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordic Mining ASA price to stay between  23.36  and its current price of 25.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nordic Mining has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nordic Mining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nordic Mining ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nordic Mining ASA has an alpha of 0.0986, implying that it can generate a 0.0986 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nordic Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nordic Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordic Mining ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3625.3927.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2221.2527.93
Details

Nordic Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordic Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordic Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordic Mining ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordic Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Nordic Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordic Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordic Mining ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordic Mining ASA has accumulated about 32.09 M in cash with (59.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nordic Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordic Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordic Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding229.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.1 M

Nordic Mining Technical Analysis

Nordic Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordic Mining ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nordic Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Nordic Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordic Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordic Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nordic Mining ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordic Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordic Mining ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordic Mining ASA has accumulated about 32.09 M in cash with (59.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Nordic Stock

Nordic Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nordic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nordic with respect to the benefits of owning Nordic Mining security.