Nextnav Warrant Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.91
| NNAVW Stock | USD 5.31 0.39 6.84% |
NextNav |
NextNav Warrant Target Price Odds to finish below 0.91
The tendency of NextNav Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.91 or more in 90 days |
| 5.31 | 90 days | 0.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NextNav Warrant to drop to $ 0.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NextNav Warrant probability density function shows the probability of NextNav Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NextNav Warrant price to stay between $ 0.91 and its current price of $5.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NextNav Warrant will likely underperform. Moreover NextNav Warrant has an alpha of 1.2235, implying that it can generate a 1.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NextNav Warrant Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NextNav Warrant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NextNav Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NextNav Warrant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NextNav Warrant Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NextNav Warrant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NextNav Warrant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NextNav Warrant, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NextNav Warrant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
NextNav Warrant Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NextNav Warrant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NextNav Warrant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NextNav Warrant appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| NextNav Warrant has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| NextNav Warrant has accumulated about 141.51 K in cash with (35.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| NextNav Warrant has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
NextNav Warrant Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NextNav Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NextNav Warrant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NextNav Warrant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.8 M |
NextNav Warrant Technical Analysis
NextNav Warrant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NextNav Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NextNav Warrant. In general, you should focus on analyzing NextNav Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NextNav Warrant Predictive Forecast Models
NextNav Warrant's time-series forecasting models is one of many NextNav Warrant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NextNav Warrant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NextNav Warrant
Checking the ongoing alerts about NextNav Warrant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NextNav Warrant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NextNav Warrant appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| NextNav Warrant has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| NextNav Warrant has accumulated about 141.51 K in cash with (35.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| NextNav Warrant has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for NextNav Stock Analysis
When running NextNav Warrant's price analysis, check to measure NextNav Warrant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NextNav Warrant is operating at the current time. Most of NextNav Warrant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NextNav Warrant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NextNav Warrant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NextNav Warrant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.