NH Hoteles (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.32
| NHH Stock | EUR 4.49 0.02 0.45% |
NHH |
NH Hoteles Target Price Odds to finish over 4.32
The tendency of NHH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 4.32 in 90 days |
| 4.49 | 90 days | 4.32 | about 46.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NH Hoteles to stay above € 4.32 in 90 days from now is about 46.93 (This NH Hoteles probability density function shows the probability of NHH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NH Hoteles price to stay between € 4.32 and its current price of €4.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NH Hoteles has a beta of -0.0515. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NH Hoteles are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NH Hoteles is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NH Hoteles has an alpha of 0.1583, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NH Hoteles Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NH Hoteles
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NH Hoteles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NH Hoteles Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NH Hoteles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NH Hoteles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NH Hoteles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NH Hoteles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
NH Hoteles Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NH Hoteles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NH Hoteles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NH Hoteles has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| NH Hoteles has accumulated 2.46 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.48, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. NH Hoteles has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NH Hoteles until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NH Hoteles' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NH Hoteles sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NHH to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NH Hoteles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 746.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413.21 M. | |
| About 94.0% of NH Hoteles outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NH Hoteles Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NHH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NH Hoteles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NH Hoteles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 404.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 241.5 M |
NH Hoteles Technical Analysis
NH Hoteles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NHH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NH Hoteles. In general, you should focus on analyzing NHH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NH Hoteles Predictive Forecast Models
NH Hoteles' time-series forecasting models is one of many NH Hoteles' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NH Hoteles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NH Hoteles
Checking the ongoing alerts about NH Hoteles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NH Hoteles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NH Hoteles has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| NH Hoteles has accumulated 2.46 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.48, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. NH Hoteles has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NH Hoteles until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NH Hoteles' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NH Hoteles sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NHH to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NH Hoteles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 746.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413.21 M. | |
| About 94.0% of NH Hoteles outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NHH Stock
NH Hoteles financial ratios help investors to determine whether NHH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NHH with respect to the benefits of owning NH Hoteles security.