New Generation Consumer Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 6.79E-4

NGCG Stock  USD 0.0007  0.0001  16.67%   
New Generation's future price is the expected price of New Generation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New Generation Consumer performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out New Generation Backtesting, New Generation Valuation, New Generation Correlation, New Generation Hype Analysis, New Generation Volatility, New Generation History as well as New Generation Performance.
  
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New Generation Target Price Odds to finish below 6.79E-4

The tendency of New Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0007  or more in 90 days
 0.0007 90 days 0.0007 
about 17.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Generation to drop to $ 0.0007  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.09 (This New Generation Consumer probability density function shows the probability of New Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Generation Consumer price to stay between $ 0.0007  and its current price of $7.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.47 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, New Generation will likely underperform. Additionally New Generation Consumer has an alpha of 0.7011, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   New Generation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New Generation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Generation Consumer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Generation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000715.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000715.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000130.000615.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00070.00070.0007
Details

New Generation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Generation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Generation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Generation Consumer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Generation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.0002
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

New Generation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Generation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Generation Consumer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Generation is way too risky over 90 days horizon
New Generation has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
New Generation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
New Generation has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (16.75 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 441.93 K.
New Generation Consumer currently holds about 80 in cash with (900) of positive cash flow from operations.

New Generation Technical Analysis

New Generation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Generation Consumer. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New Generation Predictive Forecast Models

New Generation's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Generation's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Generation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New Generation Consumer

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Generation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Generation Consumer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Generation is way too risky over 90 days horizon
New Generation has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
New Generation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
New Generation has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (16.75 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 441.93 K.
New Generation Consumer currently holds about 80 in cash with (900) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in New Pink Sheet

New Generation financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Generation security.