Netcall PLC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.15

NEW Stock   1.15  0.10  9.52%   
Netcall PLC's future price is the expected price of Netcall PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Netcall PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Netcall PLC Backtesting, Netcall PLC Valuation, Netcall PLC Correlation, Netcall PLC Hype Analysis, Netcall PLC Volatility, Netcall PLC History as well as Netcall PLC Performance.
  
Please specify Netcall PLC's target price for which you would like Netcall PLC odds to be computed.

Netcall PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 1.15

The tendency of Netcall Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.15 90 days 1.15 
about 86.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netcall PLC to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.43 (This Netcall PLC probability density function shows the probability of Netcall Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Netcall PLC has a beta of -0.0205. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Netcall PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Netcall PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Netcall PLC has an alpha of 0.4521, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Netcall PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Netcall PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netcall PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Netcall PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.155.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.905.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.155.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.071.131.19
Details

Netcall PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netcall PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netcall PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netcall PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netcall PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Netcall PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netcall PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netcall PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netcall PLC may become a speculative penny stock
Netcall PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Netcall PLC Technical Analysis

Netcall PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Netcall Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Netcall PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Netcall Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Netcall PLC Predictive Forecast Models

Netcall PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Netcall PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Netcall PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Netcall PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Netcall PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Netcall PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netcall PLC may become a speculative penny stock
Netcall PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Netcall Stock Analysis

When running Netcall PLC's price analysis, check to measure Netcall PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netcall PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Netcall PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netcall PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netcall PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netcall PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.