National Energy Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.70
| NESR Stock | USD 8.24 0.08 0.96% |
National |
National Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.70
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.70 or more in 90 days |
| 8.24 | 90 days | 0.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Energy to drop to $ 0.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Energy Services price to stay between $ 0.70 and its current price of $8.24 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Energy has a beta of 0.59. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Energy Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Energy Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. National Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
National Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 3000000 shares by Olayan International Ltd of National Energy at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
National Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.8 M |
National Energy Technical Analysis
National Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Energy Predictive Forecast Models
National Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Energy Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 3000000 shares by Olayan International Ltd of National Energy at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis
When running National Energy's price analysis, check to measure National Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Energy is operating at the current time. Most of National Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.