Nordson Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 204.30
| NDSN Stock | USD 211.27 2.03 0.95% |
Nordson |
Nordson Target Price Odds to finish below 204.30
The tendency of Nordson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 204.30 or more in 90 days |
| 211.27 | 90 days | 204.30 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordson to drop to $ 204.30 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nordson probability density function shows the probability of Nordson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordson price to stay between $ 204.30 and its current price of $211.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nordson has a beta of 0.32. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nordson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nordson will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nordson has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nordson Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nordson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nordson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nordson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Nordson Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nordson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nordson is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investing in Nordson five years ago would have delivered you a 35 percent gain |
Nordson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116 M |
Nordson Technical Analysis
Nordson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordson. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nordson Predictive Forecast Models
Nordson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nordson
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nordson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nordson is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investing in Nordson five years ago would have delivered you a 35 percent gain |
Check out Nordson Backtesting, Nordson Valuation, Nordson Correlation, Nordson Hype Analysis, Nordson Volatility, Nordson History as well as Nordson Performance. To learn how to invest in Nordson Stock, please use our How to Invest in Nordson guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nordson. If investors know Nordson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nordson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Earnings Share 8.11 | Revenue Per Share 46.641 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 | Return On Assets 0.0915 |
The market value of Nordson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nordson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nordson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nordson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nordson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nordson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nordson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nordson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nordson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.