CNOOC (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.18

NC2B Stock  EUR 2.18  0.00  0.00%   
CNOOC's future price is the expected price of CNOOC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CNOOC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CNOOC Backtesting, CNOOC Valuation, CNOOC Correlation, CNOOC Hype Analysis, CNOOC Volatility, CNOOC History as well as CNOOC Performance.
  
Please specify CNOOC's target price for which you would like CNOOC odds to be computed.

CNOOC Target Price Odds to finish over 2.18

The tendency of CNOOC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.18 90 days 2.18 
about 69.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CNOOC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.37 (This CNOOC probability density function shows the probability of CNOOC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CNOOC has a beta of -0.32. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CNOOC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CNOOC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CNOOC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CNOOC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CNOOC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNOOC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.482.183.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.211.913.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CNOOC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CNOOC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CNOOC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CNOOC.

CNOOC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CNOOC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CNOOC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CNOOC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CNOOC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0027
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

CNOOC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CNOOC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CNOOC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

CNOOC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CNOOC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CNOOC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNOOC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.6 B

CNOOC Technical Analysis

CNOOC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CNOOC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CNOOC. In general, you should focus on analyzing CNOOC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CNOOC Predictive Forecast Models

CNOOC's time-series forecasting models is one of many CNOOC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CNOOC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CNOOC

Checking the ongoing alerts about CNOOC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CNOOC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in CNOOC Stock

CNOOC financial ratios help investors to determine whether CNOOC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CNOOC with respect to the benefits of owning CNOOC security.