N1WG34 (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58.53
| N1WG34 Stock | BRL 63.42 0.90 1.44% |
N1WG34 |
N1WG34 Target Price Odds to finish below 58.53
The tendency of N1WG34 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 58.53 or more in 90 days |
| 63.42 | 90 days | 58.53 | about 63.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of N1WG34 to drop to R$ 58.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 63.59 (This N1WG34 probability density function shows the probability of N1WG34 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of N1WG34 price to stay between R$ 58.53 and its current price of R$63.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon N1WG34 has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, N1WG34 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding N1WG34 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally N1WG34 has an alpha of 0.3584, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). N1WG34 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for N1WG34
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as N1WG34. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.N1WG34 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. N1WG34 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the N1WG34's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold N1WG34, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of N1WG34 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
N1WG34 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of N1WG34 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for N1WG34 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| N1WG34 has accumulated about 375.84 B in cash with (20.13 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.92. |
N1WG34 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of N1WG34 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential N1WG34's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. N1WG34's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 49 |
N1WG34 Technical Analysis
N1WG34's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. N1WG34 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of N1WG34. In general, you should focus on analyzing N1WG34 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
N1WG34 Predictive Forecast Models
N1WG34's time-series forecasting models is one of many N1WG34's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary N1WG34's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about N1WG34
Checking the ongoing alerts about N1WG34 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for N1WG34 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| N1WG34 has accumulated about 375.84 B in cash with (20.13 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.92. |
Other Information on Investing in N1WG34 Stock
N1WG34 financial ratios help investors to determine whether N1WG34 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in N1WG34 with respect to the benefits of owning N1WG34 security.