Norwegian Cruise (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 111.0

N1CL34 Stock  BRL 154.72  8.48  5.20%   
Norwegian Cruise's future price is the expected price of Norwegian Cruise instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Norwegian Cruise Line performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Norwegian Cruise Backtesting, Norwegian Cruise Valuation, Norwegian Cruise Correlation, Norwegian Cruise Hype Analysis, Norwegian Cruise Volatility, Norwegian Cruise History as well as Norwegian Cruise Performance.
  
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Norwegian Cruise Target Price Odds to finish over 111.0

The tendency of Norwegian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above R$ 111.00  in 90 days
 154.72 90 days 111.00 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norwegian Cruise to stay above R$ 111.00  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Norwegian Cruise Line probability density function shows the probability of Norwegian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Norwegian Cruise Line price to stay between R$ 111.00  and its current price of R$154.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Norwegian Cruise Line has a beta of -0.0565. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Norwegian Cruise are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Norwegian Cruise Line is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Norwegian Cruise Line has an alpha of 0.5435, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Norwegian Cruise Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Norwegian Cruise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norwegian Cruise Line. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
151.82154.72157.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
120.25123.15170.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norwegian Cruise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norwegian Cruise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norwegian Cruise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Norwegian Cruise Line.

Norwegian Cruise Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norwegian Cruise is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norwegian Cruise's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norwegian Cruise Line, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norwegian Cruise within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
19.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Norwegian Cruise Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norwegian Cruise for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norwegian Cruise Line can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 647.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.51 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (960.05 M).
Norwegian Cruise Line has accumulated about 3.51 B in cash with (2.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.48.

Norwegian Cruise Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norwegian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norwegian Cruise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norwegian Cruise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding416.9 M
Short Long Term Debt876.9 M

Norwegian Cruise Technical Analysis

Norwegian Cruise's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norwegian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norwegian Cruise Line. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norwegian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Norwegian Cruise Predictive Forecast Models

Norwegian Cruise's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norwegian Cruise's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norwegian Cruise's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Norwegian Cruise Line

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norwegian Cruise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norwegian Cruise Line help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 647.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.51 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (960.05 M).
Norwegian Cruise Line has accumulated about 3.51 B in cash with (2.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.48.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Norwegian Stock

When determining whether Norwegian Cruise Line offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Norwegian Cruise's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Norwegian Cruise Line Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Norwegian Cruise Line Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norwegian Cruise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.