Multiexport Foods (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 192.04
| MULTIX Stock | 205.00 1.03 0.50% |
Multiexport |
Multiexport Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 192.04
The tendency of Multiexport Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 192.04 or more in 90 days |
| 205.00 | 90 days | 192.04 | about 9.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multiexport Foods to drop to 192.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.94 (This Multiexport Foods SA probability density function shows the probability of Multiexport Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multiexport Foods price to stay between 192.04 and its current price of 205.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multiexport Foods has a beta of 0.0987. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Multiexport Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multiexport Foods SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Multiexport Foods SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Multiexport Foods Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Multiexport Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multiexport Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Multiexport Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multiexport Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multiexport Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multiexport Foods SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multiexport Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Multiexport Foods Technical Analysis
Multiexport Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multiexport Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multiexport Foods SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multiexport Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Multiexport Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Multiexport Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Multiexport Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multiexport Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Multiexport Foods in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Multiexport Foods' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Multiexport Foods options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Multiexport Stock
Multiexport Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multiexport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multiexport with respect to the benefits of owning Multiexport Foods security.