Meso Numismatics Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.014
| MSSV Stock | USD 0.03 0 8.67% |
Meso |
Meso Numismatics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.014
The tendency of Meso Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meso Numismatics to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Meso Numismatics probability density function shows the probability of Meso Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meso Numismatics price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.0274 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.88 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Meso Numismatics has a beta of -1.81. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Meso Numismatics are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Meso Numismatics is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Meso Numismatics has an alpha of 1.759, implying that it can generate a 1.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meso Numismatics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meso Numismatics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meso Numismatics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meso Numismatics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Meso Numismatics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meso Numismatics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meso Numismatics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meso Numismatics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meso Numismatics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Meso Numismatics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meso Numismatics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meso Numismatics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meso Numismatics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Meso Numismatics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Meso Numismatics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Meso Numismatics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds 11.84 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Meso Numismatics has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Meso Numismatics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meso Numismatics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meso Numismatics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meso to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meso Numismatics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 475.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.25 K. | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds about 1.92 M in cash with (9.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Meso Numismatics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meso Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meso Numismatics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meso Numismatics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Meso Numismatics Technical Analysis
Meso Numismatics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meso Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meso Numismatics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meso Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meso Numismatics Predictive Forecast Models
Meso Numismatics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Meso Numismatics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meso Numismatics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meso Numismatics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meso Numismatics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meso Numismatics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meso Numismatics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Meso Numismatics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Meso Numismatics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Meso Numismatics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds 11.84 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Meso Numismatics has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Meso Numismatics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meso Numismatics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meso Numismatics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meso to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meso Numismatics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 475.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.25 K. | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds about 1.92 M in cash with (9.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Meso Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Meso Numismatics' price analysis, check to measure Meso Numismatics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meso Numismatics is operating at the current time. Most of Meso Numismatics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meso Numismatics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meso Numismatics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meso Numismatics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.