Mnc Sky (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 76.58

MSKY Stock  IDR 72.00  1.00  1.37%   
Mnc Sky's future price is the expected price of Mnc Sky instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mnc Sky Vision performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mnc Sky Backtesting, Mnc Sky Valuation, Mnc Sky Correlation, Mnc Sky Hype Analysis, Mnc Sky Volatility, Mnc Sky History as well as Mnc Sky Performance.
  
Please specify Mnc Sky's target price for which you would like Mnc Sky odds to be computed.

Mnc Sky Target Price Odds to finish over 76.58

The tendency of Mnc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  76.58  or more in 90 days
 72.00 90 days 76.58 
about 90.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mnc Sky to move over  76.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.42 (This Mnc Sky Vision probability density function shows the probability of Mnc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mnc Sky Vision price to stay between its current price of  72.00  and  76.58  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mnc Sky Vision has a beta of -0.63. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mnc Sky are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mnc Sky Vision is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mnc Sky Vision has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mnc Sky Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mnc Sky

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mnc Sky Vision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.004.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.004.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.7882.3286.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.2979.9697.63
Details

Mnc Sky Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mnc Sky is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mnc Sky's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mnc Sky Vision, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mnc Sky within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.6
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
12.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Mnc Sky Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mnc Sky for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mnc Sky Vision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mnc Sky Vision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mnc Sky Vision has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mnc Sky Vision has accumulated 4.01 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Mnc Sky Vision has accumulated 4.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 73.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mnc Sky Vision has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mnc Sky until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mnc Sky's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mnc Sky Vision sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mnc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mnc Sky's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (181.85 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.42 B.
About 92.0% of Mnc Sky outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mnc Sky Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mnc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mnc Sky's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mnc Sky's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10 B
Cash And Short Term Investments19.5 B

Mnc Sky Technical Analysis

Mnc Sky's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mnc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mnc Sky Vision. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mnc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mnc Sky Predictive Forecast Models

Mnc Sky's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mnc Sky's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mnc Sky's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mnc Sky Vision

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mnc Sky for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mnc Sky Vision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mnc Sky Vision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mnc Sky Vision has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mnc Sky Vision has accumulated 4.01 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Mnc Sky Vision has accumulated 4.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 73.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mnc Sky Vision has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mnc Sky until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mnc Sky's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mnc Sky Vision sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mnc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mnc Sky's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (181.85 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.42 B.
About 92.0% of Mnc Sky outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mnc Stock

Mnc Sky financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mnc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mnc with respect to the benefits of owning Mnc Sky security.