Madison Square Garden Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42.45
| MSGE Stock | USD 35.10 0.49 1.38% |
Closest to current price Madison long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Madison |
Madison Square Target Price Odds to finish over 42.45
The tendency of Madison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 42.45 or more in 90 days |
| 35.10 | 90 days | 42.45 | about 18.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Madison Square to move over $ 42.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.68 (This Madison Square Garden probability density function shows the probability of Madison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Madison Square Garden price to stay between its current price of $ 35.10 and $ 42.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Madison Square will likely underperform. Additionally Madison Square Garden has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Madison Square Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Madison Square
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Square Garden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Madison Square Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Madison Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Madison Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Madison Square Garden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Madison Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Madison Square Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Madison Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Madison Square Garden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Madison Square generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Implied Volatility Surging for Madison Square Garden Stock Options - Yahoo Finance |
Madison Square Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Madison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Madison Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.6 M |
Madison Square Technical Analysis
Madison Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Madison Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Madison Square Garden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Madison Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Madison Square Predictive Forecast Models
Madison Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Madison Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Madison Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Madison Square Garden
Checking the ongoing alerts about Madison Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Madison Square Garden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Madison Square generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Implied Volatility Surging for Madison Square Garden Stock Options - Yahoo Finance |
Check out Madison Square Backtesting, Madison Square Valuation, Madison Square Correlation, Madison Square Hype Analysis, Madison Square Volatility, Madison Square History as well as Madison Square Performance. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Madison Square. If investors know Madison will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Madison Square listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share 3.57 | Revenue Per Share 20.029 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0547 |
The market value of Madison Square Garden is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Madison that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Madison Square's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Madison Square's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Madison Square's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Madison Square's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Madison Square's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madison Square is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madison Square's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.