Moog Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 206.15
| MOG-A Stock | USD 198.44 4.82 2.37% |
Moog |
Moog Target Price Odds to finish below 206.15
The tendency of Moog Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 206.15 after 90 days |
| 198.44 | 90 days | 206.15 | about 51.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moog to stay under $ 206.15 after 90 days from now is about 51.12 (This Moog Inc probability density function shows the probability of Moog Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moog Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 198.44 and $ 206.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.26 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Moog will likely underperform. Additionally Moog Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Moog Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Moog
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moog Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Moog Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moog is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moog's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moog Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moog within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0086 |
Moog Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moog for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moog Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Moog Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Moog Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of December 2024 Moog paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1858 shares by Fishback Donald R of Moog subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Moog Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moog Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 61.7 M |
Moog Technical Analysis
Moog's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moog Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moog Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moog Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Moog Predictive Forecast Models
Moog's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moog's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moog's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Moog Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Moog for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moog Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Moog Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Moog Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of December 2024 Moog paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1858 shares by Fishback Donald R of Moog subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Other Information on Investing in Moog Stock
Moog financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moog Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moog with respect to the benefits of owning Moog security.