Monster Beverage Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.55
| MNST Stock | USD 50.90 0.64 1.24% |
Monster |
Monster Beverage Target Price Odds to finish below 48.55
The tendency of Monster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 48.55 or more in 90 days |
| 50.90 | 90 days | 48.55 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monster Beverage to drop to $ 48.55 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Monster Beverage Corp probability density function shows the probability of Monster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monster Beverage Corp price to stay between $ 48.55 and its current price of $50.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Monster Beverage has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Monster Beverage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Monster Beverage Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Monster Beverage Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Monster Beverage Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Monster Beverage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monster Beverage Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monster Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monster Beverage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monster Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monster Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monster Beverage Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monster Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Monster Beverage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monster Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monster Beverage Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Monster Beverage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Monster Beverage Corp Supports Baja Beach Bash for Charity |
Monster Beverage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monster Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monster Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
Monster Beverage Technical Analysis
Monster Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monster Beverage Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Monster Beverage Predictive Forecast Models
Monster Beverage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Monster Beverage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monster Beverage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Monster Beverage Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Monster Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monster Beverage Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Monster Beverage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Monster Beverage Corp Supports Baja Beach Bash for Charity |
Additional Tools for Monster Stock Analysis
When running Monster Beverage's price analysis, check to measure Monster Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monster Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of Monster Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monster Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monster Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monster Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.