Miniso Group Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.51
| MNSO Stock | USD 24.81 0.67 2.78% |
Miniso |
Miniso Group Target Price Odds to finish below 16.51
The tendency of Miniso Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.51 or more in 90 days |
| 24.81 | 90 days | 16.51 | about 16.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Miniso Group to drop to $ 16.51 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.76 (This Miniso Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Miniso Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Miniso Group Holding price to stay between $ 16.51 and its current price of $24.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Miniso Group Holding has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Miniso Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Miniso Group Holding is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Miniso Group Holding has an alpha of 1.0182, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Miniso Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Miniso Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Miniso Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Miniso Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Miniso Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Miniso Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Miniso Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Miniso Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Miniso Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Miniso Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Miniso Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Miniso Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Miniso Group Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Miniso Group Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MINISO Group Holding Ltd Launches First MINISO LAND Store in Europe |
Miniso Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Miniso Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Miniso Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Miniso Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 B |
Miniso Group Technical Analysis
Miniso Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Miniso Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Miniso Group Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Miniso Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Miniso Group Predictive Forecast Models
Miniso Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Miniso Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Miniso Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Miniso Group Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Miniso Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Miniso Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Miniso Group Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Miniso Group Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MINISO Group Holding Ltd Launches First MINISO LAND Store in Europe |
Check out Miniso Group Backtesting, Miniso Group Valuation, Miniso Group Correlation, Miniso Group Hype Analysis, Miniso Group Volatility, Miniso Group History as well as Miniso Group Performance. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Miniso Group. If investors know Miniso will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Miniso Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.103 | Earnings Share 0.99 | Revenue Per Share 44.47 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.241 | Return On Assets 0.131 |
The market value of Miniso Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Miniso that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Miniso Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Miniso Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Miniso Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Miniso Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Miniso Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Miniso Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Miniso Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.