Iq Merger Arbitrage Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 32.93
| MNA Etf | USD 32.87 0.01 0.03% |
MNA |
IQ Merger Target Price Odds to finish below 32.93
The tendency of MNA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 32.93 after 90 days |
| 32.87 | 90 days | 32.93 | about 79.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IQ Merger to stay under $ 32.93 after 90 days from now is about 79.73 (This IQ Merger Arbitrage probability density function shows the probability of MNA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IQ Merger Arbitrage price to stay between its current price of $ 32.87 and $ 32.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.31 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon IQ Merger has a beta of 0.0063. This indicates as returns on the market go up, IQ Merger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IQ Merger Arbitrage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IQ Merger Arbitrage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IQ Merger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IQ Merger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IQ Merger Arbitrage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IQ Merger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IQ Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IQ Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IQ Merger Arbitrage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IQ Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.008 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.47 |
IQ Merger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IQ Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IQ Merger Arbitrage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IQ Merger Arbitrage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Pivots Trading Plans and Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund maintains 92.02% of its assets in stocks |
IQ Merger Technical Analysis
IQ Merger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MNA Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IQ Merger Arbitrage. In general, you should focus on analyzing MNA Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IQ Merger Predictive Forecast Models
IQ Merger's time-series forecasting models is one of many IQ Merger's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IQ Merger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IQ Merger Arbitrage
Checking the ongoing alerts about IQ Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IQ Merger Arbitrage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IQ Merger Arbitrage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Pivots Trading Plans and Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund maintains 92.02% of its assets in stocks |
Check out IQ Merger Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IQ Merger Correlation, IQ Merger Hype Analysis, IQ Merger Volatility, IQ Merger History as well as IQ Merger Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
The market value of IQ Merger Arbitrage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MNA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IQ Merger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IQ Merger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IQ Merger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IQ Merger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IQ Merger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IQ Merger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IQ Merger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.