Multipolar Technology (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16,893
| MLPT Stock | IDR 21,400 1,325 5.83% |
Multipolar |
Multipolar Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 16,893
The tendency of Multipolar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 21,400 | 90 days | 21,400 | about 87.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multipolar Technology to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 87.62 (This Multipolar Technology Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Multipolar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multipolar Technology Tbk has a beta of -0.4. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Multipolar Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Multipolar Technology Tbk is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Multipolar Technology Tbk has an alpha of 4.6219, implying that it can generate a 4.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Multipolar Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Multipolar Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multipolar Technology Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Multipolar Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multipolar Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multipolar Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multipolar Technology Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multipolar Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 4.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8,601 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.43 |
Multipolar Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multipolar Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multipolar Technology Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Multipolar Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Multipolar Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Multipolar is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Multipolar Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multipolar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multipolar Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multipolar Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 783.2 B |
Multipolar Technology Technical Analysis
Multipolar Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multipolar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multipolar Technology Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multipolar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Multipolar Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Multipolar Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multipolar Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multipolar Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Multipolar Technology Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Multipolar Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multipolar Technology Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Multipolar Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Multipolar Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Multipolar is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Multipolar Stock
Multipolar Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multipolar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multipolar with respect to the benefits of owning Multipolar Technology security.