Markel (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,668
| MKV Stock | EUR 1,671 4.00 0.24% |
Markel |
Markel Target Price Odds to finish below 1,668
The tendency of Markel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,671 | 90 days | 1,671 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Markel to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Markel probability density function shows the probability of Markel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Markel has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Markel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Markel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Markel has an alpha of 0.1805, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Markel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Markel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Markel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Markel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Markel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Markel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Markel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Markel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 98.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Markel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Markel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Markel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 11.82 B. Net Loss for the year was (214.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.71 B. | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Markel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Markel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Markel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M |
Markel Technical Analysis
Markel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Markel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Markel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Markel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Markel Predictive Forecast Models
Markel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Markel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Markel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Markel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Markel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Markel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 11.82 B. Net Loss for the year was (214.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.71 B. | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Markel Stock
When determining whether Markel is a strong investment it is important to analyze Markel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Markel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Markel Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Markel Backtesting, Markel Valuation, Markel Correlation, Markel Hype Analysis, Markel Volatility, Markel History as well as Markel Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Markel Stock please use our How to Invest in Markel guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.