Sanurhasta Mitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.44
| MINA Stock | IDR 65.00 3.00 4.84% |
Sanurhasta |
Sanurhasta Mitra Target Price Odds to finish below 45.44
The tendency of Sanurhasta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 45.44 or more in 90 days |
| 65.00 | 90 days | 45.44 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sanurhasta Mitra to drop to 45.44 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sanurhasta Mitra PT probability density function shows the probability of Sanurhasta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sanurhasta Mitra price to stay between 45.44 and its current price of 65.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sanurhasta Mitra has a beta of 0.0888. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Sanurhasta Mitra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sanurhasta Mitra PT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Sanurhasta Mitra PT has an alpha of 1.5497, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sanurhasta Mitra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sanurhasta Mitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanurhasta Mitra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sanurhasta Mitra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sanurhasta Mitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sanurhasta Mitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sanurhasta Mitra PT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sanurhasta Mitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.29 |
Sanurhasta Mitra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sanurhasta Mitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sanurhasta Mitra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sanurhasta Mitra is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sanurhasta Mitra appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.77 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.22 B. | |
| Sanurhasta Mitra generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sanurhasta Mitra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sanurhasta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sanurhasta Mitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sanurhasta Mitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 B |
Sanurhasta Mitra Technical Analysis
Sanurhasta Mitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sanurhasta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sanurhasta Mitra PT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sanurhasta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sanurhasta Mitra Predictive Forecast Models
Sanurhasta Mitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sanurhasta Mitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sanurhasta Mitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sanurhasta Mitra
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sanurhasta Mitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sanurhasta Mitra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sanurhasta Mitra is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sanurhasta Mitra appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.77 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.22 B. | |
| Sanurhasta Mitra generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sanurhasta Stock
Sanurhasta Mitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sanurhasta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sanurhasta with respect to the benefits of owning Sanurhasta Mitra security.