Marfin Investment (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.37
| MIG Stock | EUR 2.99 0.07 2.40% |
Marfin |
Marfin Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 3.37
The tendency of Marfin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 3.37 after 90 days |
| 2.99 | 90 days | 3.37 | about 83.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marfin Investment to stay under € 3.37 after 90 days from now is about 83.98 (This Marfin Investment Group probability density function shows the probability of Marfin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marfin Investment price to stay between its current price of € 2.99 and € 3.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marfin Investment has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marfin Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marfin Investment Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marfin Investment Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marfin Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marfin Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marfin Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marfin Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marfin Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marfin Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marfin Investment Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marfin Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Marfin Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marfin Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marfin Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marfin Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Marfin Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Marfin Investment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Marfin Investment Group has accumulated 760.97 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 418.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Marfin Investment has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marfin Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marfin Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marfin Investment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marfin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marfin Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 359.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.59 M. | |
| Marfin Investment Group has accumulated about 117.53 M in cash with (46.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of Marfin Investment outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Marfin Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marfin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marfin Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marfin Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 939.5 M |
Marfin Investment Technical Analysis
Marfin Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marfin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marfin Investment Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marfin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marfin Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Marfin Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marfin Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marfin Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marfin Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marfin Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marfin Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marfin Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Marfin Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Marfin Investment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Marfin Investment Group has accumulated 760.97 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 418.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Marfin Investment has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marfin Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marfin Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marfin Investment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marfin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marfin Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 359.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.59 M. | |
| Marfin Investment Group has accumulated about 117.53 M in cash with (46.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of Marfin Investment outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Marfin Stock Analysis
When running Marfin Investment's price analysis, check to measure Marfin Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marfin Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Marfin Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marfin Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marfin Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marfin Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.