Equity LifeStyle (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.06
MHV Stock | EUR 64.00 0.48 0.76% |
Equity |
Equity LifeStyle Target Price Odds to finish below 55.06
The tendency of Equity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 55.06 or more in 90 days |
64.00 | 90 days | 55.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity LifeStyle to drop to 55.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Equity LifeStyle Properties probability density function shows the probability of Equity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity LifeStyle Pro price to stay between 55.06 and its current price of 64.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Equity LifeStyle has a beta of 0.0945. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Equity LifeStyle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equity LifeStyle Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equity LifeStyle Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Equity LifeStyle Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Equity LifeStyle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity LifeStyle Pro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Equity LifeStyle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity LifeStyle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity LifeStyle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity LifeStyle Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity LifeStyle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Equity LifeStyle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity LifeStyle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity LifeStyle Pro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Equity LifeStyle Pro has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
Equity LifeStyle Properties has accumulated 3.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 173.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Equity LifeStyle Pro has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Equity LifeStyle until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity LifeStyle's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity LifeStyle Pro sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity LifeStyle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Over 96.0% of Equity LifeStyle shares are owned by institutional investors |
Equity LifeStyle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equity LifeStyle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity LifeStyle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.1 M | |
Dividends Paid | 311 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 198 M |
Equity LifeStyle Technical Analysis
Equity LifeStyle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity LifeStyle Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Equity LifeStyle Predictive Forecast Models
Equity LifeStyle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity LifeStyle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity LifeStyle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Equity LifeStyle Pro
Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity LifeStyle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity LifeStyle Pro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equity LifeStyle Pro has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
Equity LifeStyle Properties has accumulated 3.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 173.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Equity LifeStyle Pro has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Equity LifeStyle until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity LifeStyle's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity LifeStyle Pro sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity LifeStyle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Over 96.0% of Equity LifeStyle shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Equity Stock
When determining whether Equity LifeStyle Pro is a strong investment it is important to analyze Equity LifeStyle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Equity LifeStyle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Equity Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Equity LifeStyle Backtesting, Equity LifeStyle Valuation, Equity LifeStyle Correlation, Equity LifeStyle Hype Analysis, Equity LifeStyle Volatility, Equity LifeStyle History as well as Equity LifeStyle Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.