Herman Miller (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.95

MHR Stock  EUR 24.40  1.20  5.17%   
Herman Miller's future price is the expected price of Herman Miller instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Herman Miller performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Herman Miller Backtesting, Herman Miller Valuation, Herman Miller Correlation, Herman Miller Hype Analysis, Herman Miller Volatility, Herman Miller History as well as Herman Miller Performance.
  
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Herman Miller Target Price Odds to finish below 23.95

The tendency of Herman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 23.95  or more in 90 days
 24.40 90 days 23.95 
about 90.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Herman Miller to drop to € 23.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.87 (This Herman Miller probability density function shows the probability of Herman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Herman Miller price to stay between € 23.95  and its current price of €24.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This indicates Herman Miller market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Herman Miller is expected to follow. Additionally Herman Miller has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Herman Miller Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Herman Miller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Herman Miller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8324.4026.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9423.5126.08
Details

Herman Miller Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Herman Miller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Herman Miller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Herman Miller, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Herman Miller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Herman Miller Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Herman Miller for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Herman Miller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Herman Miller generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Herman Miller has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (27.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 B.
Herman Miller has accumulated about 168 M in cash with (11.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.86.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Herman Miller Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Herman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Herman Miller's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Herman Miller's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.8 M

Herman Miller Technical Analysis

Herman Miller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Herman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Herman Miller. In general, you should focus on analyzing Herman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Herman Miller Predictive Forecast Models

Herman Miller's time-series forecasting models is one of many Herman Miller's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Herman Miller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Herman Miller

Checking the ongoing alerts about Herman Miller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Herman Miller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Herman Miller generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Herman Miller has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (27.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 B.
Herman Miller has accumulated about 168 M in cash with (11.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.86.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Herman Stock

Herman Miller financial ratios help investors to determine whether Herman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Herman with respect to the benefits of owning Herman Miller security.