Mercurity Fintech Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.32
| MFH Stock | USD 6.10 1.19 16.32% |
Mercurity |
Mercurity Fintech Target Price Odds to finish below 0.32
The tendency of Mercurity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.32 or more in 90 days |
| 6.10 | 90 days | 0.32 | about 10.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mercurity Fintech to drop to $ 0.32 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.44 (This Mercurity Fintech Holding probability density function shows the probability of Mercurity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mercurity Fintech Holding price to stay between $ 0.32 and its current price of $6.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.56 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mercurity Fintech will likely underperform. In addition to that Mercurity Fintech Holding has an alpha of 2.6415, implying that it can generate a 2.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mercurity Fintech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mercurity Fintech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercurity Fintech Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mercurity Fintech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mercurity Fintech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mercurity Fintech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mercurity Fintech Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mercurity Fintech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Mercurity Fintech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mercurity Fintech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mercurity Fintech Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mercurity Fintech is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mercurity Fintech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mercurity Fintech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 445.93 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.36 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (32.51 K). | |
| Mercurity Fintech Holding has about 440.64 K in cash with (2.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Mercurity Fintech has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mercurity Fintech Holding Inc. Short Interest Update |
Mercurity Fintech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mercurity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mercurity Fintech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercurity Fintech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
Mercurity Fintech Technical Analysis
Mercurity Fintech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mercurity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mercurity Fintech Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mercurity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mercurity Fintech Predictive Forecast Models
Mercurity Fintech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mercurity Fintech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mercurity Fintech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mercurity Fintech Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mercurity Fintech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mercurity Fintech Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mercurity Fintech is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mercurity Fintech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mercurity Fintech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 445.93 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.36 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (32.51 K). | |
| Mercurity Fintech Holding has about 440.64 K in cash with (2.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Mercurity Fintech has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mercurity Fintech Holding Inc. Short Interest Update |
Check out Mercurity Fintech Backtesting, Mercurity Fintech Valuation, Mercurity Fintech Correlation, Mercurity Fintech Hype Analysis, Mercurity Fintech Volatility, Mercurity Fintech History as well as Mercurity Fintech Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercurity Fintech. If investors know Mercurity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercurity Fintech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share 0.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.485 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (0.54) |
The market value of Mercurity Fintech Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercurity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercurity Fintech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercurity Fintech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercurity Fintech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercurity Fintech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercurity Fintech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mercurity Fintech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercurity Fintech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.