Metacon AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0838

META Stock   0.13  0.00  0.00%   
Metacon AB's future price is the expected price of Metacon AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metacon AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metacon AB Backtesting, Metacon AB Valuation, Metacon AB Correlation, Metacon AB Hype Analysis, Metacon AB Volatility, Metacon AB History as well as Metacon AB Performance.
  
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Metacon AB Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0838

The tendency of Metacon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.08  or more in 90 days
 0.13 90 days 0.08 
about 6.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metacon AB to drop to  0.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.02 (This Metacon AB probability density function shows the probability of Metacon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metacon AB price to stay between  0.08  and its current price of 0.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Metacon AB will likely underperform. Additionally Metacon AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Metacon AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metacon AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metacon AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.137.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.127.81
Details

Metacon AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metacon AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metacon AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metacon AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metacon AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Metacon AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metacon AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metacon AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metacon AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metacon AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Metacon AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Metacon AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Metacon AB Technical Analysis

Metacon AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metacon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metacon AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metacon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metacon AB Predictive Forecast Models

Metacon AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metacon AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metacon AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metacon AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metacon AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metacon AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metacon AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metacon AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Metacon AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Metacon AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Additional Tools for Metacon Stock Analysis

When running Metacon AB's price analysis, check to measure Metacon AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metacon AB is operating at the current time. Most of Metacon AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metacon AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metacon AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metacon AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.