Blkrc Sgy Mnp Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.11
| MEMTX Fund | USD 10.47 0.01 0.1% |
Blkrc |
Blkrc Sgy Target Price Odds to finish below 10.11
The tendency of Blkrc Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.11 or more in 90 days |
| 10.47 | 90 days | 10.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blkrc Sgy to drop to $ 10.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blkrc Sgy Mnp probability density function shows the probability of Blkrc Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blkrc Sgy Mnp price to stay between $ 10.11 and its current price of $10.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blkrc Sgy has a beta of 0.0771. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Blkrc Sgy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blkrc Sgy Mnp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blkrc Sgy Mnp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Blkrc Sgy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blkrc Sgy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blkrc Sgy Mnp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blkrc Sgy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blkrc Sgy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blkrc Sgy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blkrc Sgy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blkrc Sgy Mnp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blkrc Sgy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Blkrc Sgy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blkrc Sgy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blkrc Sgy Mnp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blkrc Sgy Mnp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Blkrc Sgy Mnp maintains about 8.73% of its assets in bonds |
Blkrc Sgy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blkrc Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blkrc Sgy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blkrc Sgy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Blkrc Sgy Technical Analysis
Blkrc Sgy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blkrc Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blkrc Sgy Mnp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blkrc Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blkrc Sgy Predictive Forecast Models
Blkrc Sgy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blkrc Sgy's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blkrc Sgy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blkrc Sgy Mnp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blkrc Sgy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blkrc Sgy Mnp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Blkrc Sgy Mnp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Blkrc Sgy Mnp maintains about 8.73% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Blkrc Mutual Fund
Blkrc Sgy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blkrc Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blkrc with respect to the benefits of owning Blkrc Sgy security.
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