Mcdonalds Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 38.82
| MDNDF Stock | USD 39.00 0.00 0.00% |
McDonalds |
McDonalds Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 38.82
The tendency of McDonalds Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 38.82 or more in 90 days |
| 39.00 | 90 days | 38.82 | about 8.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of McDonalds Holdings to drop to $ 38.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.61 (This McDonalds Holdings probability density function shows the probability of McDonalds Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of McDonalds Holdings price to stay between $ 38.82 and its current price of $39.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon McDonalds Holdings has a beta of -0.0174. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding McDonalds Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, McDonalds Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally McDonalds Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. McDonalds Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for McDonalds Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McDonalds Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
McDonalds Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. McDonalds Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the McDonalds Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold McDonalds Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of McDonalds Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
McDonalds Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of McDonalds Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for McDonalds Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| McDonalds Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
McDonalds Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of McDonalds Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential McDonalds Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McDonalds Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133 M |
McDonalds Holdings Technical Analysis
McDonalds Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. McDonalds Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of McDonalds Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing McDonalds Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
McDonalds Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
McDonalds Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many McDonalds Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary McDonalds Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about McDonalds Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about McDonalds Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for McDonalds Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| McDonalds Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in McDonalds Pink Sheet
McDonalds Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether McDonalds Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in McDonalds with respect to the benefits of owning McDonalds Holdings security.