Mcf Energy Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0307
| MCFNF Stock | 0.05 0.0003 0.65% |
MCF |
MCF Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0307
The tendency of MCF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MCF Energy to drop to 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MCF Energy probability density function shows the probability of MCF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MCF Energy price to stay between 0.03 and its current price of 0.0462 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MCF Energy has a beta of -1.38. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding MCF Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MCF Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally MCF Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MCF Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MCF Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MCF Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MCF Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MCF Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MCF Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MCF Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MCF Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
MCF Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MCF Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MCF Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MCF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MCF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MCF Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MCF Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (132.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| MCF Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MCF Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MCF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MCF Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MCF Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 126.9 K | |
| Shares Float | 84.8 M |
MCF Energy Technical Analysis
MCF Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MCF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MCF Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing MCF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MCF Energy Predictive Forecast Models
MCF Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many MCF Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MCF Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MCF Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about MCF Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MCF Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MCF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MCF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MCF Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MCF Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (132.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| MCF Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MCF OTC Stock
MCF Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether MCF OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MCF with respect to the benefits of owning MCF Energy security.