Meyer Burger (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.2

MBTN Stock  CHF 1.99  0.15  7.01%   
Meyer Burger's future price is the expected price of Meyer Burger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Meyer Burger Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Meyer Burger Backtesting, Meyer Burger Valuation, Meyer Burger Correlation, Meyer Burger Hype Analysis, Meyer Burger Volatility, Meyer Burger History as well as Meyer Burger Performance.
  
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Meyer Burger Target Price Odds to finish over 3.2

The tendency of Meyer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over ₣ 3.20  or more in 90 days
 1.99 90 days 3.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meyer Burger to move over ₣ 3.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Meyer Burger Tech probability density function shows the probability of Meyer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meyer Burger Tech price to stay between its current price of ₣ 1.99  and ₣ 3.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meyer Burger Tech has a beta of -1.6. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Meyer Burger Tech are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Meyer Burger is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Meyer Burger Tech has an alpha of 3.5284, implying that it can generate a 3.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Meyer Burger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Meyer Burger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meyer Burger Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.9932.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.5832.57
Details

Meyer Burger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meyer Burger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meyer Burger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meyer Burger Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meyer Burger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.6
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Meyer Burger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meyer Burger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meyer Burger Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meyer Burger Tech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Meyer Burger Tech may become a speculative penny stock
Meyer Burger Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 39.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.16 M.
Meyer Burger Tech has accumulated about 231.39 M in cash with (84.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.

Meyer Burger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meyer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meyer Burger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meyer Burger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments231.4 M

Meyer Burger Technical Analysis

Meyer Burger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meyer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meyer Burger Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meyer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Meyer Burger Predictive Forecast Models

Meyer Burger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meyer Burger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meyer Burger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Meyer Burger Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meyer Burger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meyer Burger Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meyer Burger Tech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Meyer Burger Tech may become a speculative penny stock
Meyer Burger Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 39.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.16 M.
Meyer Burger Tech has accumulated about 231.39 M in cash with (84.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.

Additional Tools for Meyer Stock Analysis

When running Meyer Burger's price analysis, check to measure Meyer Burger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meyer Burger is operating at the current time. Most of Meyer Burger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meyer Burger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meyer Burger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meyer Burger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.