Merchants Bancorp Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 21.41
| MBINN Preferred Stock | USD 20.40 0.32 1.54% |
Merchants |
Merchants Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 21.41
The tendency of Merchants Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.41 or more in 90 days |
| 20.40 | 90 days | 21.41 | about 88.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merchants Bancorp to move over $ 21.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 88.36 (This Merchants Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Merchants Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Merchants Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 20.40 and $ 21.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Merchants Bancorp has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Merchants Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Merchants Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Merchants Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Merchants Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Merchants Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merchants Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Merchants Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merchants Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merchants Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merchants Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merchants Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Merchants Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merchants Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merchants Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Merchants Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Merchants Bancorp has accumulated about 588.95 M in cash with (49.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.66. |
Merchants Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merchants Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merchants Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merchants Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 345.5 M |
Merchants Bancorp Technical Analysis
Merchants Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Merchants Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Merchants Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Merchants Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Merchants Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Merchants Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Merchants Bancorp's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Merchants Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Merchants Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Merchants Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Merchants Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Merchants Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Merchants Bancorp has accumulated about 588.95 M in cash with (49.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.66. |
Other Information on Investing in Merchants Preferred Stock
Merchants Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Merchants Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Merchants with respect to the benefits of owning Merchants Bancorp security.