Military Commercial (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21043.48

MBB Stock   21,600  50.00  0.23%   
Military Commercial's future price is the expected price of Military Commercial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Military Commercial Joint performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Military Commercial Backtesting, Military Commercial Valuation, Military Commercial Correlation, Military Commercial Hype Analysis, Military Commercial Volatility, Military Commercial History as well as Military Commercial Performance.
  
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Military Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over 21043.48

The tendency of Military Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  21,043  in 90 days
 21,600 90 days 21,043 
about 71.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Military Commercial to stay above  21,043  in 90 days from now is about 71.15 (This Military Commercial Joint probability density function shows the probability of Military Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Military Commercial Joint price to stay between  21,043  and its current price of 21600.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Military Commercial has a beta of 0.1. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Military Commercial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Military Commercial Joint will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Military Commercial Joint has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Military Commercial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Military Commercial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Military Commercial Joint. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,59921,60021,601
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21,46221,46323,760
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21,76621,76721,768
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,57021,30322,037
Details

Military Commercial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Military Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Military Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Military Commercial Joint, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Military Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
553.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Military Commercial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Military Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Military Commercial Joint can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Military Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Military Commercial Technical Analysis

Military Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Military Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Military Commercial Joint. In general, you should focus on analyzing Military Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Military Commercial Predictive Forecast Models

Military Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Military Commercial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Military Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Military Commercial Joint

Checking the ongoing alerts about Military Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Military Commercial Joint help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Military Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Military Stock

Military Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Military Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Military with respect to the benefits of owning Military Commercial security.