Military Commercial (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20913.04

MBB Stock   22,400  200.00  0.90%   
Military Commercial's future price is the expected price of Military Commercial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Military Commercial Joint performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Military Commercial Backtesting, Military Commercial Valuation, Military Commercial Correlation, Military Commercial Hype Analysis, Military Commercial Volatility, Military Commercial History as well as Military Commercial Performance.
  
Please specify Military Commercial's target price for which you would like Military Commercial odds to be computed.

Military Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over 20913.04

The tendency of Military Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  20,913  in 90 days
 22,400 90 days 20,913 
about 77.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Military Commercial to stay above  20,913  in 90 days from now is about 77.15 (This Military Commercial Joint probability density function shows the probability of Military Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Military Commercial Joint price to stay between  20,913  and its current price of 22400.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Military Commercial Joint has a beta of -0.0835. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Military Commercial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Military Commercial Joint is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Military Commercial Joint has an alpha of 0.0587, implying that it can generate a 0.0587 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Military Commercial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Military Commercial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Military Commercial Joint. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,39922,40022,401
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,68317,68424,640
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22,43922,44022,441
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,97821,64622,315
Details

Military Commercial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Military Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Military Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Military Commercial Joint, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Military Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
444.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Military Commercial Technical Analysis

Military Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Military Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Military Commercial Joint. In general, you should focus on analyzing Military Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Military Commercial Predictive Forecast Models

Military Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Military Commercial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Military Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Military Commercial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Military Commercial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Military Commercial options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Military Stock

Military Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Military Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Military with respect to the benefits of owning Military Commercial security.