Maven Wireless (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.25

MAVEN Stock   9.60  0.28  2.83%   
Maven Wireless' future price is the expected price of Maven Wireless instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maven Wireless Sweden performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maven Wireless Backtesting, Maven Wireless Valuation, Maven Wireless Correlation, Maven Wireless Hype Analysis, Maven Wireless Volatility, Maven Wireless History as well as Maven Wireless Performance.
  
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Maven Wireless Target Price Odds to finish over 20.25

The tendency of Maven Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  20.25  or more in 90 days
 9.60 90 days 20.25 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maven Wireless to move over  20.25  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Maven Wireless Sweden probability density function shows the probability of Maven Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maven Wireless Sweden price to stay between its current price of  9.60  and  20.25  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maven Wireless has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maven Wireless average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maven Wireless Sweden will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maven Wireless Sweden has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Maven Wireless Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maven Wireless

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maven Wireless Sweden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.879.8812.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.089.0912.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.669.6712.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.6910.2310.78
Details

Maven Wireless Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maven Wireless is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maven Wireless' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maven Wireless Sweden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maven Wireless within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Maven Wireless Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maven Wireless for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maven Wireless Sweden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maven Wireless generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Maven Wireless has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 44.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.62 M.
Maven Wireless generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Maven Wireless Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maven Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maven Wireless' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maven Wireless' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.1 M

Maven Wireless Technical Analysis

Maven Wireless' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maven Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maven Wireless Sweden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maven Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maven Wireless Predictive Forecast Models

Maven Wireless' time-series forecasting models is one of many Maven Wireless' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maven Wireless' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maven Wireless Sweden

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maven Wireless for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maven Wireless Sweden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maven Wireless generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Maven Wireless has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 44.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.62 M.
Maven Wireless generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Maven Stock Analysis

When running Maven Wireless' price analysis, check to measure Maven Wireless' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maven Wireless is operating at the current time. Most of Maven Wireless' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maven Wireless' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maven Wireless' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maven Wireless to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.