Maha Energy (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.24

MAHA-A Stock  SEK 6.65  0.08  1.19%   
Maha Energy's future price is the expected price of Maha Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maha Energy AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maha Energy Backtesting, Maha Energy Valuation, Maha Energy Correlation, Maha Energy Hype Analysis, Maha Energy Volatility, Maha Energy History as well as Maha Energy Performance.
  
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Maha Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 9.24

The tendency of Maha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 9.24  or more in 90 days
 6.65 90 days 9.24 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maha Energy to move over kr 9.24  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Maha Energy AB probability density function shows the probability of Maha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maha Energy AB price to stay between its current price of kr 6.65  and kr 9.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maha Energy AB has a beta of -0.49. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maha Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maha Energy AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maha Energy AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Maha Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maha Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maha Energy AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.116.659.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.115.658.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.776.318.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.246.727.20
Details

Maha Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maha Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maha Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maha Energy AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maha Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Maha Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maha Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maha Energy AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maha Energy AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Maha Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maha Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maha Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding113.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.5 M

Maha Energy Technical Analysis

Maha Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maha Energy AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maha Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Maha Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maha Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maha Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maha Energy AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maha Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maha Energy AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maha Energy AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Maha Stock

Maha Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maha with respect to the benefits of owning Maha Energy security.