Blackrock Fundamental Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 43.39

MAFGX Fund  USD 43.74  0.38  0.88%   
Blackrock Fundamental's future price is the expected price of Blackrock Fundamental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Fundamental Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Fundamental Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Fundamental Correlation, Blackrock Fundamental Hype Analysis, Blackrock Fundamental Volatility, Blackrock Fundamental History as well as Blackrock Fundamental Performance.
  
Please specify Blackrock Fundamental's target price for which you would like Blackrock Fundamental odds to be computed.

Blackrock Fundamental Target Price Odds to finish below 43.39

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 43.39  or more in 90 days
 43.74 90 days 43.39 
about 43.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Fundamental to drop to $ 43.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.69 (This Blackrock Fundamental Growth probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Fundamental price to stay between $ 43.39  and its current price of $43.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Fundamental has a beta of 0.91. This indicates Blackrock Fundamental Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Blackrock Fundamental is expected to follow. Additionally Blackrock Fundamental Growth has an alpha of 0.0515, implying that it can generate a 0.0515 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackrock Fundamental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock Fundamental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Fundamental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.6343.7444.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9044.0145.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.5242.6343.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.1344.7646.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blackrock Fundamental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blackrock Fundamental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blackrock Fundamental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blackrock Fundamental.

Blackrock Fundamental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Fundamental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Fundamental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Fundamental Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Fundamental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Blackrock Fundamental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Fundamental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Fundamental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.12% of its assets in stocks

Blackrock Fundamental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackrock Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackrock Fundamental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackrock Fundamental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Blackrock Fundamental Technical Analysis

Blackrock Fundamental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Fundamental Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Fundamental Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock Fundamental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Fundamental's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Fundamental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Fundamental

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Fundamental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Fundamental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.12% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock Fundamental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Fundamental security.
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