Melar Acquisition Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.0
| MACIU Stock | 10.12 0.00 0.00% |
Melar |
Melar Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 10.0
The tendency of Melar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.00 or more in 90 days |
| 10.12 | 90 days | 10.00 | about 6.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Melar Acquisition to drop to 10.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.28 (This Melar Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Melar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Melar Acquisition Corp price to stay between 10.00 and its current price of 10.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Melar Acquisition has a beta of 0.0168. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Melar Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Melar Acquisition Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Melar Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0069, implying that it can generate a 0.00687 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Melar Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Melar Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Melar Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Melar Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Melar Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Melar Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Melar Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Melar Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Melar Acquisition Technical Analysis
Melar Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Melar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Melar Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Melar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Melar Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Melar Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Melar Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Melar Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Melar Acquisition in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Melar Acquisition's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Melar Acquisition options trading.
Additional Tools for Melar Stock Analysis
When running Melar Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Melar Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Melar Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Melar Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Melar Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Melar Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Melar Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.