Montea Comm (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.7
| M8E Stock | EUR 62.10 0.00 0.00% |
Montea |
Montea Comm Target Price Odds to finish below 63.7
The tendency of Montea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 63.70 after 90 days |
| 62.10 | 90 days | 63.70 | about 19.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Montea Comm to stay under € 63.70 after 90 days from now is about 19.84 (This Montea Comm VA probability density function shows the probability of Montea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Montea Comm VA price to stay between its current price of € 62.10 and € 63.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Montea Comm VA has a beta of -0.3. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Montea Comm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Montea Comm VA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Montea Comm VA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Montea Comm Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Montea Comm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Montea Comm VA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Montea Comm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Montea Comm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Montea Comm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Montea Comm VA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Montea Comm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Montea Comm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Montea Comm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Montea Comm VA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Montea Comm VA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Montea Comm VA has accumulated 872.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Montea Comm VA has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Montea Comm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Montea Comm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Montea Comm VA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Montea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Montea Comm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 16.0% of Montea Comm outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Montea Comm Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Montea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Montea Comm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Montea Comm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M |
Montea Comm Technical Analysis
Montea Comm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Montea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Montea Comm VA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Montea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Montea Comm Predictive Forecast Models
Montea Comm's time-series forecasting models is one of many Montea Comm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Montea Comm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Montea Comm VA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Montea Comm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Montea Comm VA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Montea Comm VA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Montea Comm VA has accumulated 872.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Montea Comm VA has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Montea Comm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Montea Comm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Montea Comm VA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Montea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Montea Comm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 16.0% of Montea Comm outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Montea Stock
Montea Comm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Montea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Montea with respect to the benefits of owning Montea Comm security.