Mach7 Technologies (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.27

M7T Stock   0.36  0.01  2.70%   
Mach7 Technologies' future price is the expected price of Mach7 Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mach7 Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mach7 Technologies Backtesting, Mach7 Technologies Valuation, Mach7 Technologies Correlation, Mach7 Technologies Hype Analysis, Mach7 Technologies Volatility, Mach7 Technologies History as well as Mach7 Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify Mach7 Technologies' target price for which you would like Mach7 Technologies odds to be computed.

Mach7 Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 3.27

The tendency of Mach7 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.27  or more in 90 days
 0.36 90 days 3.27 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mach7 Technologies to move over  3.27  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Mach7 Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Mach7 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mach7 Technologies price to stay between its current price of  0.36  and  3.27  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mach7 Technologies has a beta of 0.0937. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mach7 Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mach7 Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mach7 Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mach7 Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mach7 Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mach7 Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.363.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.343.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.363.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0089-0.0062-0.0025
Details

Mach7 Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mach7 Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mach7 Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mach7 Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mach7 Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Mach7 Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mach7 Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mach7 Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mach7 Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mach7 Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 29.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.28 M.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mach7 Technologies Updates on Directors Securities Holdings - TipRanks

Mach7 Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mach7 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mach7 Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mach7 Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding240.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.2 M

Mach7 Technologies Technical Analysis

Mach7 Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mach7 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mach7 Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mach7 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mach7 Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Mach7 Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mach7 Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mach7 Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mach7 Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mach7 Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mach7 Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mach7 Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mach7 Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 29.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.28 M.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mach7 Technologies Updates on Directors Securities Holdings - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Mach7 Stock Analysis

When running Mach7 Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Mach7 Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mach7 Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Mach7 Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mach7 Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mach7 Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mach7 Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.