METAIR INVTS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.67

M4HA Stock   0.57  0.03  5.56%   
METAIR INVTS's future price is the expected price of METAIR INVTS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of METAIR INVTS LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out METAIR INVTS Backtesting, METAIR INVTS Valuation, METAIR INVTS Correlation, METAIR INVTS Hype Analysis, METAIR INVTS Volatility, METAIR INVTS History as well as METAIR INVTS Performance.
  
Please specify METAIR INVTS's target price for which you would like METAIR INVTS odds to be computed.

METAIR INVTS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.67

The tendency of METAIR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.67  after 90 days
 0.57 90 days 0.67 
about 87.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of METAIR INVTS to stay under  0.67  after 90 days from now is about 87.87 (This METAIR INVTS LTD probability density function shows the probability of METAIR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of METAIR INVTS LTD price to stay between its current price of  0.57  and  0.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon METAIR INVTS has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, METAIR INVTS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding METAIR INVTS LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally METAIR INVTS LTD has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   METAIR INVTS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for METAIR INVTS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as METAIR INVTS LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.543.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.493.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as METAIR INVTS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against METAIR INVTS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, METAIR INVTS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in METAIR INVTS LTD.

METAIR INVTS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. METAIR INVTS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the METAIR INVTS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold METAIR INVTS LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of METAIR INVTS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

METAIR INVTS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of METAIR INVTS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for METAIR INVTS LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
METAIR INVTS LTD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
METAIR INVTS LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

METAIR INVTS Technical Analysis

METAIR INVTS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. METAIR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of METAIR INVTS LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing METAIR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

METAIR INVTS Predictive Forecast Models

METAIR INVTS's time-series forecasting models is one of many METAIR INVTS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary METAIR INVTS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about METAIR INVTS LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about METAIR INVTS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for METAIR INVTS LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
METAIR INVTS LTD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
METAIR INVTS LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in METAIR Stock

METAIR INVTS financial ratios help investors to determine whether METAIR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in METAIR with respect to the benefits of owning METAIR INVTS security.