Mid-America Apartment (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 149.55

M2K Stock  EUR 143.70  6.10  4.07%   
Mid-America Apartment's future price is the expected price of Mid-America Apartment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mid America Apartment Communities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mid-America Apartment Backtesting, Mid-America Apartment Valuation, Mid-America Apartment Correlation, Mid-America Apartment Hype Analysis, Mid-America Apartment Volatility, Mid-America Apartment History as well as Mid-America Apartment Performance.
  
Please specify Mid-America Apartment's target price for which you would like Mid-America Apartment odds to be computed.

Mid-America Apartment Target Price Odds to finish below 149.55

The tendency of Mid-America Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 149.55  after 90 days
 143.70 90 days 149.55 
about 74.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mid-America Apartment to stay under € 149.55  after 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This Mid America Apartment Communities probability density function shows the probability of Mid-America Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mid America Apartment price to stay between its current price of € 143.70  and € 149.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mid America Apartment Communities has a beta of -0.0962. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mid-America Apartment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mid America Apartment Communities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mid America Apartment Communities has an alpha of 0.1068, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mid-America Apartment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mid-America Apartment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid America Apartment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
148.70149.80150.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.82151.33152.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
152.68153.78154.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
144.30148.35152.41
Details

Mid-America Apartment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mid-America Apartment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mid-America Apartment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mid America Apartment Communities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mid-America Apartment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Mid-America Apartment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mid-America Apartment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mid America Apartment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mid-America Apartment has accumulated €4.39 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Mid America Apartment Communities has accumulated 4.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 72.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mid America Apartment has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mid-America Apartment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mid-America Apartment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mid America Apartment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mid-America to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mid-America Apartment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 97.0% of Mid-America Apartment shares are owned by institutional investors

Mid-America Apartment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mid-America Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mid-America Apartment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mid-America Apartment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.5 M
Dividends Paid543.3 M
Short Long Term Debt20 M

Mid-America Apartment Technical Analysis

Mid-America Apartment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mid-America Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mid America Apartment Communities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mid-America Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mid-America Apartment Predictive Forecast Models

Mid-America Apartment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mid-America Apartment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mid-America Apartment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mid America Apartment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mid-America Apartment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mid America Apartment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mid-America Apartment has accumulated €4.39 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Mid America Apartment Communities has accumulated 4.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 72.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mid America Apartment has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mid-America Apartment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mid-America Apartment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mid America Apartment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mid-America to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mid-America Apartment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 97.0% of Mid-America Apartment shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Mid-America Stock

When determining whether Mid America Apartment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mid-America Apartment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mid America Apartment Communities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mid America Apartment Communities Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid-America Apartment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid-America Apartment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid-America Apartment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.