Localiza Rent A Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 8.06

LZRFY Stock  USD 5.64  0.17  3.11%   
Localiza Rent's future price is the expected price of Localiza Rent instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Localiza Rent A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Localiza Rent Backtesting, Localiza Rent Valuation, Localiza Rent Correlation, Localiza Rent Hype Analysis, Localiza Rent Volatility, Localiza Rent History as well as Localiza Rent Performance.
  
Please specify Localiza Rent's target price for which you would like Localiza Rent odds to be computed.

Localiza Rent Target Price Odds to finish over 8.06

The tendency of Localiza OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 8.06  or more in 90 days
 5.64 90 days 8.06 
about 10.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Localiza Rent to move over $ 8.06  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.49 (This Localiza Rent A probability density function shows the probability of Localiza OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Localiza Rent A price to stay between its current price of $ 5.64  and $ 8.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Localiza Rent has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Localiza Rent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Localiza Rent A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Localiza Rent A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Localiza Rent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Localiza Rent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Localiza Rent A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.915.649.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.485.218.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.994.728.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.717.118.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Localiza Rent. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Localiza Rent's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Localiza Rent's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Localiza Rent A.

Localiza Rent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Localiza Rent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Localiza Rent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Localiza Rent A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Localiza Rent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Localiza Rent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Localiza Rent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Localiza Rent A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Localiza Rent A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Localiza Rent A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Localiza Rent A has accumulated about 6.53 B in cash with (3.37 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.67, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Localiza Rent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Localiza OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Localiza Rent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Localiza Rent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding752.2 M

Localiza Rent Technical Analysis

Localiza Rent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Localiza OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Localiza Rent A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Localiza OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Localiza Rent Predictive Forecast Models

Localiza Rent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Localiza Rent's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Localiza Rent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Localiza Rent A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Localiza Rent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Localiza Rent A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Localiza Rent A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Localiza Rent A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Localiza Rent A has accumulated about 6.53 B in cash with (3.37 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.67, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for Localiza OTC Stock Analysis

When running Localiza Rent's price analysis, check to measure Localiza Rent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Localiza Rent is operating at the current time. Most of Localiza Rent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Localiza Rent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Localiza Rent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Localiza Rent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.