Lsb Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.73
| LXU Stock | USD 7.59 0.06 0.80% |
Lsb |
Lsb Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 8.73
The tendency of Lsb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.73 after 90 days |
| 7.59 | 90 days | 8.73 | about 62.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lsb Industries to stay under $ 8.73 after 90 days from now is about 62.11 (This Lsb Industries probability density function shows the probability of Lsb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lsb Industries price to stay between its current price of $ 7.59 and $ 8.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.57 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lsb Industries has a beta of 0.83. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lsb Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lsb Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lsb Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lsb Industries Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lsb Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lsb Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lsb Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lsb Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lsb Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lsb Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lsb Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lsb Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Lsb Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lsb Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lsb Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lsb Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ROBOTTI ROBERT Reduces Stake in Amrep Corp A Strategic Portfolio Adjustment |
Lsb Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lsb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lsb Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lsb Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 305.9 M |
Lsb Industries Technical Analysis
Lsb Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lsb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lsb Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lsb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.