Luxfer Holdings Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.69
| LXFR Stock | USD 13.63 0.06 0.44% |
Luxfer |
Luxfer Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 5.69
The tendency of Luxfer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.69 or more in 90 days |
| 13.63 | 90 days | 5.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luxfer Holdings to drop to $ 5.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Luxfer Holdings PLC probability density function shows the probability of Luxfer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luxfer Holdings PLC price to stay between $ 5.69 and its current price of $13.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Luxfer Holdings PLC has a beta of -0.42. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Luxfer Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Luxfer Holdings PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Luxfer Holdings PLC has an alpha of 0.4074, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Luxfer Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luxfer Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luxfer Holdings PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luxfer Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luxfer Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luxfer Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luxfer Holdings PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luxfer Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Luxfer Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luxfer Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luxfer Holdings PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 405 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 95 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of November 2024 Luxfer Holdings paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investing in Luxfer Holdings a year ago would have delivered you a 64 percent gain |
Luxfer Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luxfer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luxfer Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luxfer Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Luxfer Holdings Technical Analysis
Luxfer Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luxfer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luxfer Holdings PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luxfer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luxfer Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Luxfer Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Luxfer Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luxfer Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Luxfer Holdings PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luxfer Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luxfer Holdings PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 405 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 95 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of November 2024 Luxfer Holdings paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investing in Luxfer Holdings a year ago would have delivered you a 64 percent gain |
Additional Tools for Luxfer Stock Analysis
When running Luxfer Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Luxfer Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luxfer Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Luxfer Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luxfer Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luxfer Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luxfer Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.