Laxmi Organic (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 254.06
| LXCHEM Stock | 242.70 6.90 2.76% |
Laxmi |
Laxmi Organic Target Price Odds to finish below 254.06
The tendency of Laxmi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 254.06 after 90 days |
| 242.70 | 90 days | 254.06 | about 15.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Laxmi Organic to stay under 254.06 after 90 days from now is about 15.29 (This Laxmi Organic Industries probability density function shows the probability of Laxmi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Laxmi Organic Industries price to stay between its current price of 242.70 and 254.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Laxmi Organic has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Laxmi Organic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Laxmi Organic Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Laxmi Organic Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Laxmi Organic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Laxmi Organic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laxmi Organic Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laxmi Organic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Laxmi Organic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Laxmi Organic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Laxmi Organic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Laxmi Organic Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Laxmi Organic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Laxmi Organic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Laxmi Organic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Laxmi Organic Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Laxmi Organic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Laxmi Organic is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CRISIL Ratings assigns AAA1 rating to the bank facilities of Laxmi Organic Inds - Business Standard |
Laxmi Organic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Laxmi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Laxmi Organic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laxmi Organic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Laxmi Organic Technical Analysis
Laxmi Organic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Laxmi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Laxmi Organic Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Laxmi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Laxmi Organic Predictive Forecast Models
Laxmi Organic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Laxmi Organic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Laxmi Organic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Laxmi Organic Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Laxmi Organic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Laxmi Organic Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Laxmi Organic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Laxmi Organic is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CRISIL Ratings assigns AAA1 rating to the bank facilities of Laxmi Organic Inds - Business Standard |
Other Information on Investing in Laxmi Stock
Laxmi Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Laxmi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Laxmi with respect to the benefits of owning Laxmi Organic security.