Lsv Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.75

LVAQX Fund  USD 20.43  0.10  0.49%   
Lsv Small's future price is the expected price of Lsv Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lsv Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lsv Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lsv Small Correlation, Lsv Small Hype Analysis, Lsv Small Volatility, Lsv Small History as well as Lsv Small Performance.
  
Please specify Lsv Small's target price for which you would like Lsv Small odds to be computed.

Lsv Small Target Price Odds to finish over 20.75

The tendency of Lsv Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.75  or more in 90 days
 20.43 90 days 20.75 
about 5.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lsv Small to move over $ 20.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.38 (This Lsv Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Lsv Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lsv Small Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 20.43  and $ 20.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lsv Small has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lsv Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lsv Small Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lsv Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0987, implying that it can generate a 0.0987 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lsv Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lsv Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lsv Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2520.4321.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1420.3221.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.1420.3221.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3620.6821.00
Details

Lsv Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lsv Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lsv Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lsv Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lsv Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Lsv Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lsv Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lsv Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.25% of its assets in stocks

Lsv Small Technical Analysis

Lsv Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lsv Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lsv Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lsv Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lsv Small Predictive Forecast Models

Lsv Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lsv Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lsv Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lsv Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lsv Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lsv Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.25% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Lsv Mutual Fund

Lsv Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lsv Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lsv with respect to the benefits of owning Lsv Small security.
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